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These are called “Attack Strength” and “Defence Strength”, respectively. It is a fairly straightforward procedure; however, you must make sure your data is accurate before you start using Poisson. The average number of goals scored at home: 1.663 The average number of goals scored away: 1.279. All you have to do is use the calculations mentioned above, this time not for the entire league but for the individual team: Valencia scored 24 goals in 19 away matches, so their Attack Strength is 24/19=1.263, along with the total away Attack Strength of 1.279. Dividing these numbers will give you a 0.987 value. Atletico Madrid conceded 14 goals in 19 home matches, so their Defence Strength is 14/19=0.737, along with the total home Defence Strength of 1,279. By dividing these numbers, you get a 0.576 value. e : A constant equal to approximately 2.71828. ( e is the base of the natural logarithm system.) μ: The league's total attack strength.
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